Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 56.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 25 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 49 daily closes on record from 25 Aug 2026 to 12 Oct 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 5 Oct 2026 and the lowest 42% on 28 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 43.5% on 26 Aug 2026. $42.12 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 13, 10:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 25 Aug 2026 – 12 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2026 | 49.0% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | 43.5% |
1 more market, none above 45.0%.
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 14th in the 2026 Bolivia LFPB. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 14th in the 2026 Bolivia LFPB, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Bolivia LFPB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 14th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bolivia LFPB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bolivia-lfpb-14th-place-relegation-survivor-2026
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