Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75%. Yes opened at 26% on 11 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2026 to 17 Mar 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 12 Mar 2026 and the lowest 25% on 17 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 50% on 12 Mar 2026.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 15, 10:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 11 Mar 2026 – 17 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | 26.0% |
| 17 Mar 2026 | 25.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vital-Entree | Yes | 27.78 |
| s611a6ed2 | Yes | 26.32 |
| greencardkosty | Yes | 13.16 |
| jjzzh | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Champions League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-champions-league-team-to-advance-to-semis
| pretzelcat | Yes | 3.33 |
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