
Resolved Yes on 4 Mar 2026.
$1.28K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 5, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 4 Mar 2026, chart shows 82%–94%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | 87.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bjprolo | No | 100 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.63 |
| paspor | No | 2.21 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tx-15-democratic-primary-winner-813
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page