Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.3%. Yes opened at 70% on 29 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 29 Jul 2024 to 1 Aug 2024, the highest close was 70% on 29 Jul 2024 and the lowest 1.8% on 1 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 55 points down, to 1.8% on 1 Aug 2024. $29.58K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 5:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 29 Jul 2024 – 1 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2024 | 70.0% |
| 1 Aug 2024 | 1.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.06K |
| marginal | Yes | 28.13 |
| emogirl238 | Yes | 24.33 |
| AnEggplant | No | 0.08 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Blake Masters wins the 2024 Republican Primary for the 8th Arizona Congressional District (AZ-8). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2024 Republican Primary for the Arizona Congressional District (AZ-8) takes place this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/az-8-republican-primary-winner
| namerandom92 | Yes | 0.04 |
| zzVip11 | Yes | 0.02 |
| introverts | Yes | 0.01 |
| shawac | No | 0.01 |
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