Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 10 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2024 to 11 Dec 2024, the highest close was 4.5% on 10 Dec 2024 and the lowest 1.5% on 11 Dec 2024. $12.89K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 12, 9:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 10 Dec 2024 – 11 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2024 | 4.5% |
| 11 Dec 2024 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Serty | No | 0.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market group over what terms will appear in the Brian Thompson shooter's manifesto if it is released by Friday.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/brian-thompson-perp-manifesto-mentions
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