Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 82.4%. Yes opened at 45% on 31 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 64.5% on 1 Apr 2026 and the low 3.8% on 4 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 17.5% on 3 Apr 2026. $557.7K traded over the market's life.
226 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 7, 6:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 31 Mar 2026 – 6 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Mar 2026 | 45.0% |
| 6 Apr 2026 | 17.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Keen Falcon D40C | Yes | 9.72K |
| Yellow-Liner-Departure | Yes | 6.31K |
| Secret-Diffuse | Yes | 2.34K |
| boombioof | Yes | 1.62K |
| Rapid Lynx 88B1 | Yes | 1.6K |
| Aptekar | Yes | 1.11K |
| acal | Yes | 1K |
| Kosta000 | Yes | 900 |
| Emerald Pulse 866A | Yes | 721.88 |
| lejo89 | Yes | 650.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-march-30-april-5
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