Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 18 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 19.5% on 12 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 69% on 14 Aug 2025 and the low 0.4% on 18 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 62 points down, to 7% on 15 Aug 2025. $160.95K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 19, 8:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 12 Aug 2025 – 18 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2025 | 19.5% |
| 18 Aug 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bombo | Yes | 13.16K |
| NNGG | Yes | 6.17K |
| fishfilet | Yes | 1.23K |
| ivanovaloha | Yes | 412.5 |
| RandomInternetPerson | Yes | 276.59 |
| forradaCatedralicia1998 | Yes | 238.1 |
| Katta3898 | Yes | 230.77 |
| Sympathetic-Way | Yes | 190.48 |
| RhaegalO | Yes | 71.43 |
| dremen | Yes | 58.82 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What price will Bitcoin hit August 11-17?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-august-11-17
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