Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 34% on 29 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 34% on 29 Jul 2025 and the low 0.1% on 3 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 3.4% on 1 Aug 2025. $80.34K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 5, 12:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 29 Jul 2025 – 4 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2025 | 34.0% |
| 4 Aug 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| winnerwinnerwinner | Yes | 2K |
| BranimirRogue | Yes | 280 |
| TrpimirRogue | Yes | 230.48 |
| account-3 | Yes | 116 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 108 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 87 |
| sunkauppa | Yes | 77.69 |
| Krijney9 | Yes | 66.67 |
| rookieblue | Yes | 3.85 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Bitcoin Hit Price market for the week
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-july-28-august-3
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
