Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 44% on 29 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 44% on 29 Jul 2025 and the low 0.2% on 3 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 6% on 1 Aug 2025. $117.49K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 5, 12:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 29 Jul 2025 – 4 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2025 | 44.0% |
| 4 Aug 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| winnerwinnerwinner | Yes | 3K |
| Jess1 | Yes | 1.46K |
| OmarSaga | Yes | 490 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 49 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 12 |
| 6njkx | Yes | 5 |
| WIF174 | Yes | 2.78 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Bitcoin Hit Price market for the week
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-july-28-august-3
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