Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 69% on 29 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 69% on 29 Jul 2025 and the low 0.1% on 4 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 22.5% on 1 Aug 2025. $372.99K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 5, 12:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 29 Jul 2025 – 4 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2025 | 69.0% |
| 4 Aug 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Yemao2022 | Yes | 20.41K |
| Dell.hefty.4D | Yes | 1.96K |
| trader228 | Yes | 1.79K |
| Jess1 | Yes | 1.77K |
| Fxcksxrco | Yes | 705 |
| KarloDash | Yes | 468 |
| chacperso | Yes | 430 |
| leohui | Yes | 400 |
| l03bitcoin | Yes | 391.72 |
| myyas | Yes | 200 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Bitcoin Hit Price market for the week
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-july-28-august-3
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
