
Resolved Yes on 11 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 27.2%. Yes opened at 30.5% on 5 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 39.5% on 8 Aug 2025 and the low 1.1% on 10 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 8% on 9 Aug 2025. $625.99K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 12, 8:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 5 Aug 2025 – 11 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2025 | 30.5% |
| 11 Aug 2025 | 27.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Netman | No | 12.62K |
| fastfoward | No | 3.22K |
| Turbomald | No | 1.01K |
| SBKKKO | No | 1K |
| IMNEGAN | No | 1K |
| h0a80 | No | 600 |
| VFALL | No | 437.98 |
| Delibaltovsf | No | 382.06 |
| benh116 | No | 348.75 |
| onebebras | No | 290.94 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Bitcoin Hit Price market for the week
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-august-4-10
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page