Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 54%. Yes opened at 68.5% on 5 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 68.5% on 5 Aug 2025 and the low 47.5% on 6 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 47.5% on 6 Aug 2025. $196.78K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 10, 11:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 5 Aug 2025 – 7 Aug 2025 · axis zoomed to 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2025 | 68.5% |
| 7 Aug 2025 | 54.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GrindMo | No | 10.47K |
| JaidenAnimations | No | 10.11K |
| stalker | No | 1.5K |
| Clearbalance | No | 1K |
| joloseaturtle | No | 352.27 |
| MagicMan1337 | No | 117.65 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 98 |
| guberna | No | 81.53 |
| 10000000usdc | No | 38.89 |
| Darnzz | No | 7.81 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Bitcoin Hit Price market for the week
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-august-4-10
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