Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 23% on 6 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 23% on 6 Jan 2026 and the low 0.1% on 12 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 3.5% on 8 Jan 2026. $380.33K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 13, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 6 Jan 2026 – 12 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 23.0% |
| 12 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ProteinProsecco | Yes | 43.09K |
| Mrbig1 | Yes | 17.55K |
| august15th | Yes | 5.06K |
| Magnificent-Windage | Yes | 1K |
| 811d | Yes | 1K |
| soundman | Yes | 952.38 |
| nickwynns | Yes | 950 |
| Negative-Wiring | Yes | 556.11 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 539.5 |
| Elastic-Tarragon | Yes | 500 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-january-5-11
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