Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 88.3%. Yes opened at 49% on 27 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 95% on 26 Mar 2026 and the low 36% on 10 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 72.5% on 13 Mar 2026. $16.82K traded over the market's life.
54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 8:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 27 Feb 2026 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | 49.0% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 88.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | No | 500 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 200 |
| tuogupu | No | 196.67 |
| kangxieyuan | No | 184.21 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Rules
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-bitcoin-outperform-in-march
| Rapid Kestrel A206 | No | 138.4 |
| MBorrell | No | 133.41 |
| yotaoyuan | No | 118.42 |
| yalaiyi | No | 107.12 |
| hetaohui | No | 102.31 |
| liangquetang | No | 96.93 |
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