Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 23% on 6 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 32.5% on 8 Jan 2026 and the low 1.6% on 12 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 9% on 10 Jan 2026. $691.16K traded over the market's life.
483 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 13, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 6 Jan 2026 – 12 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 23.0% |
| 12 Jan 2026 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| OAK86 | Yes | 25.81K |
| JBODnumber1 | Yes | 10.78K |
| Cel00 | Yes | 2.97K |
| Even-Education | Yes | 2.74K |
| mango0x | Yes | 2.69K |
| august15th | Yes | 2K |
| Ma244 | Yes | 2K |
| Radiant-Survey | Yes | 1K |
| qqqq88888 | Yes | 925.2 |
| Livid-Purse | Yes | 909.09 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What price will Bitcoin hit January 5-11?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-january-5-11
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