Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 6 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 12.5% on 8 Jan 2026 and the low 0.1% on 12 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.4 points down, to 0.6% on 10 Jan 2026. $309.32K traded over the market's life.
64 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 13, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 6 Jan 2026 – 12 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 9.5% |
| 12 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Nadin592 | Yes | 30.92K |
| OAK86 | Yes | 25.17K |
| mango0x | Yes | 9.47K |
| FOREXKING | Yes | 5.11K |
| qqqq88888 | Yes | 4K |
| manixp | Yes | 3.89K |
| august15th | Yes | 3K |
| IH2P | Yes | 2.09K |
| FUTBALL | Yes | 2K |
| fomod | Yes | 1.28K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What price will Bitcoin hit January 5-11?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-january-5-11
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