Analytics
Resolved Yes on 10 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 24.5%. Yes opened at 19.5% on 7 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 46% on 8 Oct 2025 and the low 17% on 9 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 17% on 9 Oct 2025. $203.08K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 12, 12:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 7 Oct 2025 – 10 Oct 2025 · axis zoomed to 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2025 | 19.5% |
| 10 Oct 2025 | 24.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GeckoStarlight | No | 12.96K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 2.28K |
| affs20791 | No | 1K |
| krulzycia | No | 328.95 |
| 3999 | No | 231.82 |
| someone.vv | No | 229.89 |
| RealMaxNick | No | 200 |
| RmcMurphy | No | 200 |
| Dzhi | No | 156.39 |
| ib1833 | No | 150 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-october-6-12
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