Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 5 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 14% on 6 Aug 2025 and the low 0.1% on 11 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 4% on 7 Aug 2025. $112.6K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 12, 12:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 5 Aug 2025 – 11 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2025 | 12.5% |
| 11 Aug 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fxcksxrco | Yes | 6.06K |
| Acexavi46 | Yes | 1K |
| lemmywalker | Yes | 526.32 |
| Stevevz | Yes | 333.76 |
| Smoki.bet420 | Yes | 312.81 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 290 |
| Sherexis | Yes | 29.41 |
| Neon Comet 0E19 | No | 0.02 |
| romeoxyz | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Bitcoin Hit Price market for the week
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-august-4-10
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
