Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 19% on 25 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 69 daily closes on record from 25 Oct 2023 to 1 Jan 2024, the highest close was 50.8% on 2 Nov 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 Jan 2024. Its largest one-day move was 49 points up, to 50.8% on 2 Nov 2023. $3.9K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 2:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 69 points, 25 Oct 2023 – 1 Jan 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2023 | 19.0% |
| 1 Jan 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On October 24, Ben Armstrong (Bitboy) posted on X that his wife Bethany had served him divorce papers: https://twitter.com/BenArmstrongsX/status/1716835531265606069. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben remarries by Dec 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be information from Ben Armstrong and his legal representatives. A consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-bitboy-remarry-by-eoy
| No |
| 0.02 |
| MAGA4eva | No | 0.02 |
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