Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Mar 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 10% on 17 Feb 2023. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 17 Feb 2023 to 7 Mar 2023 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 10% on 17 Feb 2023 and the lowest 1% on 21 Feb 2023. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 5% on 18 Feb 2023. $22.48K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 2:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 17 Feb 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2023 | 10.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Keen Voyager E2CB | Yes | 748.8K |
| gdawgs27 | Yes | 1K |
| Impartial-Lentil | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft's search engine Bing has a market share of greater than 4.00% (i.e. 4.01% or more) for February 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be StatCounter's "Search Engine Market Share Worldwide" information (found at https://gs.statcounter.com/search-engine-market-share), specifically the percentage figure found under "bing" above the line chart for February. If StatCounter ceases to exist or otherwise stops publishing this information, a consensus of credible sources will be used in place of StatCounter.
Resolution source: https://gs.statcounter.com/search-engine-market-share
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-bings-market-share-be-4-in-february
| Yes |
| 0.29 |
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