Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 2% on 3 Mar 2023. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2023 to 1 Apr 2023 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 2% on 3 Mar 2023 and the lowest 1% on 6 Mar 2023. $70.9K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 8:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 69 points, 3 Mar 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2023 | 2.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Falcon 44D4 | Yes | 22.75K |
| Old-Arrogance | Yes | 5.84K |
| Rash-Grabbag | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if official information released by Binance, official representatives of Binance (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by March 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET that Binance.com is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. This market will also resolve to "Yes" if Binance.com withdrawals for BTC and/or ETH are suspended for a majority of users for at least 7 full days (168 hours) in a row by March 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this settlement criterion will be official information released by Binance, official representatives of Binance (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), and a consensus of credible reporting. If neither of the above criteria are met, this market will resolve to "No". This market only concerns Binance.com. Binance.us is not considered for this market. Binance.com withdrawals being suspended for a majority of users means that a majority of users are unable to withdraw their BTC and/or ETH from Binance (E.g. If a majority of users are unable to withdraw their ETH from Binance, it will satisfy the condition.) If Binance.com suspends withdrawals on a day in the last week of March (e.g. They halt token withdrawals on March 30, 2023, 4 PM ET), this market will not resolve until either: 1) withdrawals are reenabled before 7 full days (168 hours) pass, resulting in a "No" resolution; 2) 7 full days pass (March 30 - April 6, 2023, 4 PM ET) where withdrawals are suspended, resulting in a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-binancecom-become-insolvent-by-mar-31-2023
| Yes |
| 100 |
| Inborn-Unique | No | 11.09 |
| Jade Atlas 64FA | Yes | 1.94 |
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