Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Jan 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 10% on 16 Dec 2022. Before it settled, across the 45 daily closes on record from 16 Dec 2022 to 30 Jan 2023 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 11% on 18 Dec 2022 and the lowest 1% on 17 Jan 2023. $49.16K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 10, 1:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 126 points, 16 Dec 2022 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2022 | 10.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Lynx 80A9 | Yes | 313.53K |
| Cautious-Carbon | Yes | 33.33 |
| Distant-Gig | Yes | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if official information released by Binance, official representatives of Binance (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by January 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET that Binance.com is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. This market will also resolve to "Yes" if Binance.com withdrawals for BTC and/or ETH are suspended for a majority of users for at least 7 full days (168 hours) in a row by January 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this settlement criterion will be official information released by Binance, official representatives of Binance (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), and a consensus of credible reporting. If neither of the above criteria are met, this market will resolve to "No". This market only concerns Binance.com. Binance.us is not considered for this market. Binance.com withdrawals being suspended for a majority of users means that a majority of users are unable to withdraw their BTC and/or ETH from Binance (E.g. If a majority of users are unable to withdraw their ETH from Binance, it will satisfy the condition.) If Binance.com suspends withdrawals on a day in the last week of January (e.g. They halt token withdrawals on January 30, 2023, 4 PM ET), this market will not resolve until either: 1) withdrawals are reenabled before 7 full days (168 hours) pass, resulting in a "No" resolution; 2) 7 full days pass (Jan 30 - Feb 6, 2023, 4 PM ET) where withdrawals are suspended, resulting in a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-binancecom-become-insolvent-by-jan-31-2023
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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