Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US?

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Delayed

Analytics

Predictions Analytics

Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US? | Market Analytics

Market referencewill-binance-pay-4b-to-settle-with-the-usUpdated Nov 22, 2023

Closed

Scheduled close Dec 31, 2023

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Observed Yes 100¢Observed No 0¢

24h Volume

Scheduled close

Dec 31, 2023

Overview Prices Holders Trades

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Mar 22, 2024

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Nov 22, 2023

This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Closed

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

100.0%

The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

Yes / No shares

The provider top-holder sample is currently unavailable.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

Wallets

Loaded notional

$15.2K

Yes buy at 99.9%

Price historyPolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Nov 21, 12:00 AM

Points

Latest close

20.0%

Last bucket

Nov 21, 12:00 AM

Top holdersLargest rows from the capped public top-holder endpoint; not venue-wide open interest.

Top-holder sample unavailable

The current provider holder request did not complete. No legacy holder rows are being substituted.

Event contextBest-effort grouped event lookup for this market.

Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US?

Uncategorized • 1 linked markets

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Binance Holdings Ltd. pays >$4,000,000,000.00 to settle any legal case with the United States by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution for this market will be official information from Binance Holdings Ltd., however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.