Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.2%. Yes opened at 35% on 26 Jun 2025. Before it settled, the high was 35% on 26 Jun 2025 and the low 1.3% on 30 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 9.5% on 27 Jun 2025. $5.99K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 26 Jun 2025 – 1 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2025 | 35.0% |
| 1 Jul 2025 | 1.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 488 |
| MartKingPower17 | No | 1.11 |
| Ttazmaniac | No | 1.06 |
| arka.parka.leto | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Ackman publicly announces or endorses a new candidate for Mayor of New York City in the 2025 general election by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the individual must not be Andrew Cuomo or any candidate who has formally declared their candidacy as of market issuance. Announcements which indicate that the person is either planning to run or being encouraged by Ackman to run, as well as endorsements of candidates who declare their candidacy after market issuance will qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-bill-ackman-announce-a-new-candidate-for-nyc-mayor-before-july
| trump.slonic | No | 0.01 |
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