
Resolved No on 12 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 38.5%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 16 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 16 Jun 2026 to 12 Jul 2026, the highest close was 61.5% on 12 Jul 2026 and the lowest 26% on 28 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 59.5% on 10 Jul 2026. $323.48K traded over the market's life.
236 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 13, 12:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 16 Jun 2026 – 12 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jun 2026 | 27.5% |
| 12 Jul 2026 | 61.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 59.02K |
| 0xredpanda | Yes | 10K |
| MissingJoy | Yes | 9.38K |
| paperdood | Yes | 8K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the team winning 1st place at the 2026 Mid-Season Invitational (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 28 - July 12, 2026. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/msi-2026-winner-20260615160657983
| euro-catcher | Yes | 6.96K |
| Sheng777 | Yes | 3.74K |
| UCDNOAHSHEN | Yes | 2.9K |
| oveckaschon | Yes | 2.64K |
| ShadowLouis | Yes | 2.34K |
| UNA.AI | Yes | 2.26K |
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