Analytics
Yes is at 49.7%, up 29 points from 21% when the market opened on 6 Aug 2026.
Across the 77 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.8% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 6.2% on 23 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 41.3%; a month before, 34.1%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 32.4% on 27 Aug 2026.
Big Walk is the favourite of the 24 outcomes in “The Game Awards: Best Independent Game”, ahead of Mina the Hollower at 32.5%.
$8.16 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $11.66K since listing. The order book holds $618.83, with a 8.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 227 trades, $1.01K bought Yes and $2.06K bought No.
The largest Yes position is SnapElectionAvoider with 1.4K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.3K. Ten wallets hold 80% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026, 42 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 77 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 21.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 49.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 1.36K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.31K |
| mercurys | No | 827.73 |
The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Independent Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/the-game-awards-best-independent-game-20260804145650
12 more outcomes, none above 0.4%.
| longdated-poli | No | 479.77 |
| catalanpaths | Yes | 393.73 |
| Haradwaith | No | 362.72 |
| Spectrum | Yes | 255.79 |
| Light-Constraint-Pita | No | 250 |
| BIsLosingMoney | Yes | 170 |
| Geromi | Yes | 161.45 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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