Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Aug 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 1.1% on 17 Aug 2023. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 17 Aug 2023 to 19 Aug 2023, the highest close was 1.1% on 17 Aug 2023 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 Aug 2023. $81.92K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 2:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 17 Aug 2023 – 19 Aug 2023, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2023 | 1.1% |
| 19 Aug 2023 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 123sc | Yes | 152.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On Tuesday, August 15, President Biden stated "My wife, Jill, and I are going to travel to Hawaii as soon as we can" in wake of the state's disastrous fires. This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Biden visits Hawaii by Friday, August 18, 2023, 11:59 PM HST (Hawaii Standard Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, a "visit" is defined as Biden physically stepping onto Hawaiian land. The resolution source will be official information from the US government as well as a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-biden-visit-hawaii-by-friday
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
