Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 17% on 3 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2024 to 15 Jul 2024, the highest close was 17% on 3 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.6% on 15 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 3.5% on 13 Jul 2024. $18.37K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 16, 5:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 3 Jul 2024 – 15 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2024 | 17.0% |
| 15 Jul 2024 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nouseforaname | Yes | 300 |
| cescp | Yes | 0.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden, or any of his representatives publicly claim that he still has a cold or is still sick at any point between Monday, July 8, 12:00 AM ET, and Sunday July 14, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Biden or one of his representatives.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-biden-still-have-a-cold-next-week
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