Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Jan 2025.
$32.93K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 16, 4:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 16 Jan 2025, chart shows 56%–68%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2025 | 62.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| iioooiii | Yes | 6.6K |
| WhybeeWhybee | Yes | 1.51K |
| LuigiBPL1106 | Yes | 45.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
President Joe Biden’s farewell address is scheduled to take place on January 15, 2025, 8:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "peaceful transition" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond January 19, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the video of the speech, however the official transcript will be used to settle cases of ambiguity.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-biden-say-during-farewell-address
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
