Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 68.5%. Yes opened at 18% on 24 Jul 2024. Before it settled, the high was 31.5% on 25 Jul 2024 and the low 18% on 24 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 31.5% on 25 Jul 2024. $20.56K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 26, 1:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 24 Jul 2024 – 25 Jul 2024 · axis zoomed to 15%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2024 | 18.0% |
| 25 Jul 2024 | 31.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LtDan | Yes | 644.66 |
| DaXiGua88 | Yes | 23.81 |
| whowhatwhy | Yes | 20 |
| FonzAhRelly | Yes | 12 |
| alekisiel | Yes | 10 |
| Winner999 | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Joe Biden is scheduled to give a speech Wednesday July 24, about his decision to end his reelection campaign. This market refers to anything Biden says during the first speech he gives addressing his decision to withdraw from the Presidential race. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Obama". Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Biden does not give a speech addressing his decision to withdraw from the Presidential race by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Obama" is part of the compound word and refers to any Obama (e.g. "Obamacare" counts). The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-biden-say-during-drop-out-speech
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