Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 64.5%. Yes opened at 45% on 26 Jun 2024. Before it settled, the high was 76% on 27 Jun 2024 and the low 45% on 26 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 76% on 27 Jun 2024. $8.39K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 29, 7:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 26 Jun 2024 – 28 Jun 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2024 | 45.0% |
| 28 Jun 2024 | 64.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Drew9999 | No | 625 |
| countyo | No | 37.98 |
| DjCourtney | Yes | 13.64 |
| sarlynho | Yes | 0.63 |
| ZoZo | Yes | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "January 6" or "Jan 6" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrases regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. The ordinal from of six, 'sixth', will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrases will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-biden-say-during-the-debate
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