Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Aug 2024.
$21.56K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 1 point · 20 Aug 2024 · axis zoomed to 36%–48%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2024 | 42.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| winstonbush | Yes | 140.51 |
| RustyWallace27 | Yes | 98.21 |
| publius2024 | Yes | 50 |
| qrpenc | Yes | 15 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Joe Biden is scheduled to speak at the DNC Monday August 19. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Israel" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Biden does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Israel" is part of the compound word and references the Middle Eastern country. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-biden-say-during-dnc-speech
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