
Resolved No on 17 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 16 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 16 Jul 2024 to 17 Jul 2024, the highest close was 20.5% on 16 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.7% on 17 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 0.7% on 17 Jul 2024. $5.09K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 18, 4:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 16 Jul 2024 – 17 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jul 2024 | 20.5% |
| 17 Jul 2024 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SAZDCASEDCA | Yes | 5.21 |
| Grandiose-Perfume | Yes | 5.02 |
| Awful-Invite | Yes | 4.35 |
| confessions243 | Yes | 4.35 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
asda
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-biden-say-during-lester-holt-interview
| Nresei | No | 0.08 |
| PolyTraders | No | 0.03 |
| devin.lawson.77 | No | 0.02 |
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