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Paper trading
Resolved No on 16 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.8%. Yes opened at 6% on 14 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 6% on 14 Jan 2025 and the low 2.2% on 16 Jan 2025. $149.74K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 16, 6:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 14 Jan 2025 – 16 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2025 | 6.0% |
| 16 Jan 2025 | 2.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| fffme | Yes | 8.11K |
| enochsmiles | Yes | 4.47K |
| vyv | Yes | 1.31K |
| Mind99 | Yes | 1.17K |
| Ethics | Yes | 689.66 |
| Ivanona228 | Yes | 608.7 |
| AppleApple | Yes | 47.62 |
| bopilexess | Yes | 46.43 |
| Vanity | Yes | 41.67 |
| megagrim | No | 0.06 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on predictions regarding the content of President Biden's farewell address.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J0FEi8Jh5KI
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-biden-say-during-farewell-address
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