Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 76.5%. Yes opened at 53% on 21 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 21 Jun 2024 to 28 Jun 2024, the highest close was 76.5% on 28 Jun 2024 and the lowest 53% on 21 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 76.5% on 28 Jun 2024. $27.61K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 29, 4:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 21 Jun 2024 – 28 Jun 2024, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jun 2024 | 53.0% |
| 28 Jun 2024 | 76.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| countyo | No | 45.45 |
| jimpeiko1 | No | 38.36 |
| VodkaWaterLime | No | 20 |
| Stormtheviking | No | 19.23 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Convicted Felon" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-biden-say-during-the-debate
| skullnic | Yes | 12.82 |
| Gravityfix | Yes | 0.04 |
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