Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
Depth
Observed
Mar 7, 2024
This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.
Market state
Closed
Order book
Captured book available
Observed Yes
0.0%
The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.
Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.
Rows loaded
1
Wallets
1
Top 10 share
100%
Yes / No shares
33.33 / 0
Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.
Recent tapeLatest public market trades.
Trades loaded
105
Wallets
45
Loaded notional
PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Mar 6, 12:00 AM
Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.
Bucket
Close
Mid
Spread
Volume
Trades
Mar 6, 12:00 AM
3.6%
3.6%
Mar 5, 12:00 AM
3.5%
3.5%
Mar 4, 12:00 AM
3.6%
3.6%
Questions
Questions about this market
What is the “Will Biden or Haley drop out first?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Will Biden or Haley drop out first? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 5, 2024. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Biden" if President Joseph Biden drops out of the 2024 US presidential race before Nikki Haley. This market will resolve to "Haley" if Nikki Haley drops out of the 2024 US presidential race before President Joseph Biden. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent either candidate from continuing the race, this market will consider the candidate that can no longer run to have dropped out. If neither candidate drops out at any point before the 2024 election day (November 5, 2024 ET), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($0) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$54.29K
Haley buy at 99.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Mar 6, 12:00 AM
Points
23
Move
-1.9 pts
Range
2.6% - 6.5%
Feb 13, 12:00 AM to Mar 6, 12:00 AM
Mar 3, 12:00 AM
2.6%
2.6%
Mar 2, 12:00 AM
2.6%
2.6%
Mar 1, 12:00 AM
2.9%
2.9%
Feb 29, 12:00 AM
3.0%
3.0%
Feb 28, 12:00 AM
3.0%
3.0%
Feb 27, 12:00 AM
5.5%
5.5%
Feb 26, 12:00 AM
5.5%
5.5%
Feb 25, 12:00 AM
6.5%
6.5%
Feb 24, 12:00 AM
6.5%
6.5%
Feb 23, 12:00 AM
6.5%
6.5%
Feb 22, 12:00 AM
6.5%
6.5%
Feb 21, 12:00 AM
6.5%
6.5%
Feb 20, 12:00 AM
6.5%
6.5%
Feb 19, 12:00 AM
6.5%
6.5%
Feb 18, 12:00 AM
6.5%
6.5%
Feb 17, 12:00 AM
6.5%
6.5%
Feb 16, 12:00 AM
6.5%
6.5%
Feb 15, 12:00 AM
6.5%
6.5%
Feb 14, 12:00 AM
6.5%
6.5%
Feb 13, 12:00 AM
5.5%
5.5%
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
Vultax loaded 1 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Mar 7, 5:22 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-biden-or-haley-drop-out-first) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
