Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 58.5%. Yes opened at 56% on 19 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 19 Jul 2024 to 21 Jul 2024, the highest close was 58.5% on 21 Jul 2024 and the lowest 52.5% on 20 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 58.5% on 21 Jul 2024. $98.21K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 22, 9:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 19 Jul 2024 – 21 Jul 2024, chart shows 50%–62%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2024 | 56.0% |
| 21 Jul 2024 | 58.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bidenfan69 | No | 445.36 |
| idarkwing | No | 5 |
| JJBabin | No | 2.17 |
| nicekitty | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden announces that he will vote for Kamala Harris or formally endorses Kamala Harris for President of the United States before the Democratic Party officially nominates its candidate for the 2024 presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Joe Biden endorses another candidate for President of the United States, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden or one of his representatives.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-biden-endorse-kamala
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| archaic | Yes | 0.02 |
| fabichou | No | 0.01 |
