Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 19 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 19 Jul 2024 to 21 Jul 2024, the highest close was 8.5% on 19 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 6.3 points down, to 2.3% on 20 Jul 2024. $223.89K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 22, 6:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 19 Jul 2024 – 21 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2024 | 8.5% |
| 21 Jul 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 49.6K |
| Ivory Meteor 70FF | Yes | 1.11K |
| frfr37 | Yes | 1K |
| 0xbeta | Yes | 169.32 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
g asd
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-biden-drop-out
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| LowEnergyJeb | Yes | 100 |
| Rbjms3 | Yes | 0.06 |
| D3mon | No | 0.03 |
| fhantombets | No | 0.01 |
