Analytics
Resolved Lettuce on 21 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Lettuce at 36%. The Lettuce side opened at 74.5% on 19 Jul 2024. Before it settled, the high was 74.5% on 19 Jul 2024 and the low 36% on 21 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 52.5% on 20 Jul 2024. $107.14K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Lettuce price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 19 Jul 2024 – 21 Jul 2024
| Observed | Lettuce price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2024 | 74.5% |
| 21 Jul 2024 | 36.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| donkey1337 | Biden | 1.23K |
| norm | Biden | 850 |
| deez45 | Biden | 515.37 |
| IvanK | Biden | 209.42 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
During the 2022 Liz Truss administration in the UK, a running joke started that the shelf life of a head of lettuce would outlast her government. This proved true, and the lettuce claimed victory. You can read more about that here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liz_Truss_lettuce. The shelf life of a head of lettuce is 10 days - Will Biden outlast the lettuce? This market will resolve to "Lettuce" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race by July 28, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "Biden". In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Lettuce". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-biden-drop-out-before-the-lettuce-expires-jul-28
| fleabag | Biden | 100 |
| confugen | Biden | 100 |
| death25525 | Biden | 100 |
| trymyluck | Biden | 73.57 |
| Spirited-Aside | Biden | 50 |
| DonCantore | Biden | 23.81 |
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