Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 48%. Yes opened at 37% on 26 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 26 Jun 2024 to 28 Jun 2024, the highest close was 52% on 28 Jun 2024 and the lowest 34.5% on 27 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 52% on 28 Jun 2024. $7.61K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 29, 5:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 26 Jun 2024 – 28 Jun 2024, chart shows 30%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2024 | 37.0% |
| 28 Jun 2024 | 52.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ohnft | Yes | 71.43 |
| rust234 | Yes | 43.48 |
| bittlousy09 | Yes | 1.45 |
| VibesGreaterRules | Yes | 0.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden asks the moderator to repeat a question at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Requests from Biden to the moderator to repeat part of a question or statement will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Statements from Biden such as saying “excuse me” or actions such as Biden pointing to his ear, which are not explicit requests to repeat a question but result in the moderator repeating the question or part of the question will qualify for a “Yes" resolution. If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No." If the moderator repeats a question unprompted from Biden, this will NOT qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be video footage of the debate.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-biden-ask-the-moderator-to-repeat-a-question-during-the-debate
| KingofRingx3 | Yes | 0.03 |
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