Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.7%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 12 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 12 Nov 2024 to 21 Dec 2024, the highest close was 97.7% on 21 Dec 2024 and the lowest 20.5% on 13 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 74.5% on 14 Dec 2024. $33.29K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 22, 12:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 12 Nov 2024 – 21 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2024 | 41.5% |
| 21 Dec 2024 | 97.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | No | 88.25 |
| Lunar Comet B085 | No | 10 |
| PolyDump | No | 10 |
| Twizzler | No | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
As of November 11, President Joe Biden has appointed and the Senate has confirmed 213 Article III federal judges. Donald Trump was able to successfully appoint 234 Judges. (see: https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/11/politics/biden-senate-democrats-judicial-nominees/index.html). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Biden administration gets 235 or more Article III federal judges confirmed by January 19, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-biden-appoint-more-judges-than-trump
| nhgd | No | 4.35 |
| pmhb | No | 2.13 |
| yxvxtshs | No | 0.07 |
| Ipuoip | No | 0.05 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
