Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 23 Jul 2024. Before it settled, the high was 25.5% on 23 Jul 2024 and the low 0.7% on 24 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 0.7% on 24 Jul 2024. $27.29K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 25, 4:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Jul 2024 – 24 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2024 | 25.5% |
| 24 Jul 2024 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.02K |
| Scared-Brief | Yes | 664.87 |
| fifa227 | Yes | 58.28 |
| aleph-1 | Yes | 42 |
| Nelli126 | No | 0.04 |
| jenkins | No | 0.03 |
| vote.fun | No | 0.02 |
| bebetter | Yes | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden addresses the United States for the first time about his decision to withdraw from the 2024 US Presidential election on Tuesday, July 23, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any statement, prerecorded or live, will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", so long as it features Joe Biden on video. The primary resolution source for this market will be any such video statement released of Joe Biden within this market's timeframe.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-biden-address-the-nation
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