Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 41% on 25 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 41% on 25 Mar 2026 and the low 0.6% on 26 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 0.6% on 26 Mar 2026.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 27, 1:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 25 Mar 2026 – 26 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2026 | 41.0% |
| 26 Mar 2026 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.02K |
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| ffsFsfq | Yes | 10 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/number-of-us-flights-delayed-on-march-25
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