Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 14 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 198 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2026 to 27 Aug 2026 (28 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 49.5% on 29 Apr 2026. $1.32K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 198 points, 14 Jan 2026 – 27 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | 48.5% |
| 27 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 379.71 |
| 46adasd | Yes | 300.34 |
| ivybaby01 | Yes | 146.19 |
This market will resolve according to the number of albums that are ranked number 1 on any official weekly Billboard 200 albums chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Each specific album may only count once, regardless of the number times it reaches the number 1 spot. Different editions of the same album will be considered to be different specific albums if they contain different tracklists. Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard 200 album chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard 200 album chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026. All officially published Billboard 200 Albums charts will be treated as final. Revisions made after the release of a Billboard 200 album chart will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official weekly Billboard 200 albums chart, published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/ and through other official Billboard channels; however, a consensus of credible reporting on albums that reached number 1 on the Billboard 200 within this market's timeframe may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-albums-will-reach-billboard-1-in-2026
| sanduspace | Yes | 100 |
| Violet Oracle 0E26 | Yes | 60 |
| niglette | Yes | 33.01 |
| 48xsds | Yes | 19.58 |
| human.bean | Yes | 6 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 2.9 |
| Rowdy-Life | Yes | 2.66 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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