Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 77.5%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 9 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 9 Apr 2026 to 12 Apr 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 22.5% on 12 Apr 2026 and the lowest 13.5% on 9 Apr 2026. $22.65K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 16, 11:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 9 Apr 2026 – 12 Apr 2026, chart shows 10%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2026 | 13.5% |
| 12 Apr 2026 | 22.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.05K |
| YourMamaSoHuge | Yes | 533.69 |
| Azure Vector EBBF | Yes | 372.44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Leadership elections for the Quebec governing political party, Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), are scheduled to be held on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the CAQ leadership elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by the date of the next Quebec general election, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-premier-of-quebec
| Yes |
| 200 |
| Clear-Pug | Yes | 164.52 |
| Kinglichy | Yes | 125 |
| jrscote | Yes | 104.5 |
| Tigertime | No | 11.36 |
| zabaniya6666 | Yes | 10 |
| Rotten-Venti | Yes | 5 |
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