Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 7 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 7 Jan 2025 to 21 Jan 2025, the highest close was 49.6% on 20 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 50 points down, to 0.1% on 21 Jan 2025. $19.95K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 7:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 7 Jan 2025 – 21 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2025 | 36.5% |
| 21 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 12.18K |
| bargoneski | Yes | 1.26K |
| PolyDump | Yes | 400 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on which team Ben Johnson will join next in his professional career.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ben-johnson-next-team
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