Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 76.5% on 10 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 162 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2025 to 18 Nov 2025, the highest close was 99.6% on 18 Nov 2025 and the lowest 69% on 11 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 81% on 12 Jun 2025. $16.17K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 10:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 162 points, 10 Jun 2025 – 18 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2025 | 76.5% |
| 18 Nov 2025 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.05K |
| TimeTraveler | No | 869.42 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 227 |
This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-fifa-world-cup-which-countries-qualify
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 133 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 89 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 87 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 46 |
| Solar Meteor 7A9A | No | 21 |
| beabow | No | 15.61 |
| Deafening-Possible | No | 14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
