Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 91%. Yes opened at 50% on 10 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 84 daily closes on record from 10 Oct 2023 to 1 Jan 2024, the highest close was 99.3% on 11 Nov 2023 and the lowest 50% on 10 Oct 2023. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 95.5% on 11 Oct 2023. $24.79K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 2:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 84 points, 10 Oct 2023 – 1 Jan 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2023 | 50.0% |
| 1 Jan 2024 | 91.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RemoveBeforeFlight | No | 2.22K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bashar al-Assad remains in power as the President of Syria until 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2023. "In power" is defined as Assad still officially holding the office of the President of Syria, as confirmed by reliable sources such as verified news outlets or official government statements. If Assad is no longer holding the office for any reason, the market will resolve to "No". If Assad departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-bashar-al-assad-still-be-in-power-in-syria-by-the-end-of-2023
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