Analytics
Resolved Barbie on 25 Jul 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Barbie at 100%. The Barbie side opened at 50% on 14 Jun 2023. Before it settled, across the 42 daily closes on record from 14 Jun 2023 to 25 Jul 2023, the highest close was 100% on 25 Jul 2023 and the lowest 50% on 14 Jun 2023. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 85.5% on 15 Jun 2023. $259.55K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 25, 9:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Barbie price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 14 Jun 2023 – 25 Jul 2023
| Observed | Barbie price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2023 | 50.0% |
| 25 Jul 2023 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| satashe | Oppenheimer | 30.53K |
| Flustered-Island | Oppenheimer | 20K |
| BABY FARK MCGEEZAX | Oppenheimer | 4.98K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on whether Barbie' (2023) or 'Oppenheimer' (2023) will have a higher domestic gross on their opening weekend. The respective "Domestic Weekend" tabs on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt1517268/ and https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15398776/ will be used to resolve this market once the values for their 3-day opening weekend (July 21-23) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Barbie" if 'Barbie' grosses more than 'Oppenheimer' on its 3-day opening weekend. This market will resolve to "Oppenheimer" if 'Oppenheimer' grosses more than 'Barbie' on its 3-day opening weekend. If 'Barbie' and 'Oppenheimer' gross an exactly equal amount on their 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve 50-50. Opening weekend is defined as the first Friday, Saturday, and Sunday of the film's release. Please note, this market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo number under Domestic Weekend for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by July 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution source: https://www.boxofficemojo.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-barbie-or-oppenheimer-gross-more-on-opening-weekend
| Oppenheimer |
| 3.53K |
| Ugly-Tailor | Oppenheimer | 1.75K |
| Repulsive-Lawmaker | Oppenheimer | 1.65K |
| Radiant-Cat | Oppenheimer | 1.29K |
| christophernolan | Oppenheimer | 1.25K |
| Worthless-Deal | Oppenheimer | 1K |
| rafoulebabtou | Oppenheimer | 799.5 |
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