Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Aug 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 55% on 10 Aug 2023. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 10 Aug 2023 to 15 Aug 2023, the highest close was 55% on 10 Aug 2023 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Aug 2023. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 27% on 11 Aug 2023. $23.35K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 2:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 10 Aug 2023 – 15 Aug 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2023 | 55.0% |
| 15 Aug 2023 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| VVVVVVVV-830 | Yes | 106.98 |
| xcvb | Yes | 0.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Resolution source: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl1077904129/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/box-office-august-11-13
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